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‘It’s blackmail’: Ukrainians react to Trump demand for $500bn share of minerals
The lithium deposit is located in central Ukraine’s Kirovohrad region, about 350km (217 miles) south of the capital, Kyiv. Solar-powered scientific instruments measure air temperature and seismic activity. In 2017 a Ukrainian company, UkrLithiumMining, bought a government licence to exploit the site for 20 years. It cost $5m. Geological surveys confirm that the ore, known as petalite, can be used to produce batteries for electric vehicles and mobile phones.
US and Ukrainian negotiators were seeking to move past the spectacular breakdown in transatlantic relations and to finalise a deal, Bloomberg said on Friday.
Commentators have described Trump’s aggressive ultimatum as “mafia imperialism”, a “colonial agreement”, and reminiscent of what the Europeans did in the 18th century when they carved up Africa.
“It’s as if we lost the war to America. This looks to me like reparations,” Volodymyr Landa, a senior economist at the Centre for Economic Strategy thinktank in Kyiv, said. Ukraine’s overall reserves are worth $14.8tn. They include lithium, titanium and uranium, as well as coal, steel from iron ore, and undersea shale gas. Many deposits had not been developed, Landa said, either because they were not feasible or due to political instability.
Others are in areas occupied by Russia. Ukraine’s lithium deposits – about 500,000 tonnes’ worth – are among the biggest in Europe. One site is in Kruta Balka, near the southern port of Berdiansk, which the Kremlin occupied early in its 2022 invasion. Another is in the Shevchenkivskyi district, on the frontline in the eastern Donetsk oblast. Russian troops recently took control of the area.
The deposit in Liodiane is one of two under Ukrainian control.
According to Landa, Ukraine’s minerals sector has “high risks and high rewards”. There is a long history of foreign investment, he said, with French, Belgian and British engineers developing the country’s coal industry in the 19th century. The city of Donetsk – seized by Russia in 2014 – was originally named Hughesovka, after the Welsh businessman John Hughes, who founded a steel plant and several coalmines in the region.
Residents living near Liodiane said they supported the construction of a new lithium mine. They were not, however, ready to give the profits to Trump. “This idea is too much,” Tetiana Slyvenko, a local administrator, said. “He wants to take resources from a country in a time of war. How are we supposed to live? We have children. It’s as if the US seeks to deprive us of our economic potential. It would finish us off, the same as America did with Red Indians [Native Americans].”
Slyvenko said Russian rockets flew regularly over her village of Kopanky, in the Malovyskiy district, on their way to targets in western Ukraine. In December, she filmed three streaking overhead from her garden. “I said a few bad words. The rockets were flying very low. We are tired. Our emotions are understandably strong,” she said. Two weeks ago, a shaheed missile crashed in a nearby field, not far from the shallow valley where the lithium is buried.
About 300 people live in the neighbouring villages of Kopanky and Haiivka, most of them elderly. Breaking off from ice fishing on Kopanky’s picturesque frozen lake, 72-year-old Stanislav Ryabchenko said he hoped the mine would bring young people back to the community and create jobs. “What Trump suggests is blackmail. He knows we can’t push the Russians out on our own. We need joint production, not a takeover,” he said, showing off two carp.
Denys Alyoshin, UkrLithiumMining’s chief strategy officer, said his company was looking for foreign investment. It would cost $350m to build a new and modern mine, in accordance with EU environmental standards, he said. He acknowledged that construction could begin only once Russia’s war against Ukraine was over. Ideally, he said, Ukraine would process the ore in country into a concentrate. This would then be refined into battery-grade lithium carbonate.
Trump has said he wants a share of “rare earths”, a class of 17 minerals. In fact, Ukraine has few of these. The US president appears to have confused them with rare metals and critical materials, such as lithium and graphite. Alyoshin said there was a further misconception that quick profits could be made. “People think you put a shovel in the ground and dig up money. We have been working on this project for five or six years. With investment we can begin production in 2028,” he said.
Back in Liodiane, the only sound was birdsong. In the 1960s and 70s the village was home to agricultural labourers working in a kolkhoz, a Soviet collective farm. There were two streets, a cluster of clay-and-straw houses and a community centre known as the “Club”. The last inhabitant died in 1983. In the pre-electric vehicle era, lithium was used in the ceramic and glass industries. Soviet geologists discovered the seam half a century ago, but decided it was not worth exploiting.
Hrechukha, the mining company’s local representative, said there was a ready available workforce, after a uranium mine 20km down the road in the town of Smolino was decommissioned last year. His firm was keen to cooperate with outside partners, he stressed, but only on the basis of international law. He said he respected the world’s richest man, Elon Musk, whose Tesla car business required lithium. “We are interested in a long-term client,” he said.
In the meantime, the US was far away. “I don’t think US soldiers are going to be coming here anytime soon,” Hrechukha predicted, surveying the white field. He added: “It’s more likely aliens from another planet will turn up.”
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What is the Ukraine minerals deal – and why does Trump want it signed?
Ukraine says it has reached a “preliminary” deal to hand revenue from some of its critical mineral resources to the US, with preparations under way for Volodymyr Zelenskyy to visit the White House to sign the agreement on Friday.
The announcement followed days of tense negotiations between Washington and Kyiv in which the Ukrainian president alleged the US was pressuring him to sign an earlier deal worth more than $500bn (£395bn) that he said would force 10 generations of his people to pay it back.
What are the details of the deal?
Donald Trump presented the initial US proposal as a means for Ukraine to repay Washington for military and financial aid since Russia’s 2022 invasion. After it was rejected, a new agreement seen as more accommodating for Kyiv was drafted.
The new terms do not include the onerous demand that would have given the US the right to $500bn in potential revenue from exploiting Ukrainian resources, which included oil and gas as well as minerals
“The main thing for me is we are not debtors. There is no $500bn debt in the agreement … because that would be unfair,” Zelenskyy told a news briefing on Wednesday.
The deal still does not include references to long-term US security guarantees that Kyiv wanted, to protect a postwar Ukraine from Russian attacks. “This agreement could be part of future security guarantees … an agreement is an agreement, but we need to understand the broader vision,” Zelenskyy said.
The Ukrainian prime minister, Denys Shmyhal, described the deal as preliminary, and there was uncertainty as to whether Zelenskyy’s trip to Washington would go ahead.
Asked on Tuesday what Ukraine would receive under the deal, Trump said: “$350bn, military equipment and the right to fight on.” He added: “We’ve pretty much negotiated our deal on [rare earths] and various other things. We’ll be looking [at] general security for Ukraine later on.”
What are critical minerals?
Critical minerals are the metals and other raw materials needed for the production of hi-tech products, particularly those associated with the green energy transition, but also consumer electronics, artificial intelligence infrastructure, and weapons.
The rush to tackle climate breakdown and move away from fossil fuels has triggered a scramble for energy transition minerals such as cobalt, copper, lithium and nickel, which are useful for the electrification of transport and the construction of wind turbines. The same minerals and others are also used for the manufacture of mobile phones, AI datacentres and military assets such as F-35 fighter aircraft, placing them in high demand.
As the world’s economy and technology transforms, the value of critical minerals has soared and geopolitical competition for access to them is rising. In 2023, the International Energy Agency (IEA) estimated that the market for energy transition minerals had reached £320bn in 2022, double its value five years earlier. And if countries fully implement their clean energy and climate pledges, demand is expected to more than double by 2030 and triple by 2040, the agency says.
Which minerals are regarded as critical?
The term critical minerals is not a scientific term so much as a political one, and different countries have different lists of critical minerals depending on their domestic and geopolitical objectives.
In 2022, the US Geological Survey (USGS) published a list of 50 minerals, from aluminium to zirconium, that it regarded as “play[ing] a significant role in our national security, economy, renewable energy development and infrastructure”. Notable inclusions were arsenic, for semiconductors; beryllium, used as an alloying agent in aerospace and defence industries; cobalt, lithium and graphite, crucial for manufacturing batteries; indium, which makes screens respond to a finger touch; and tellurium, which is used for solar power generation.
The US’s Energy Act stipulates that the list must be updated every three years, which means this year it will be up for review, and it will be interesting to see which minerals appear or disappear given the new political environment in the country.
What are rare earth elements?
Rare earth elements (REEs) are a subset of 17 critical minerals that are variously indispensable for mobile phones, electric vehicles, missile guidance systems and other electronic, industrial and energy applications.
Despite their name, most of the rare earth elements are not particularly rare, but their extraction and refining is fiendishly difficult – and environmentally highly destructive – meaning production is concentrated in very few places, mainly China.
REEs include europium, used in nuclear power station control rods; dysprosium, gandolinium and praseodymium, used in the magnets in your mobile phone; and gadolinium, holmium and ytterbium, used in lasers, among other things.
What critical minerals does Ukraine have?
A 2022 article by the chair of Ukraine’s Association of Geologists, Hanna Liventseva, claimed her country contained about 5% of the world’s mineral resources, despite covering only 0.4% of the globe’s surface, thanks to a complex geology that takes in all three of the main components of the earth’s crust.
According to Ukraine’s own data, cited by Reuters, the country has deposits of 22 of the 34 minerals identified as critical by the EU, including rare earths such as lanthanum, cerium, neodymium, erbium and yttrium.
Before the outbreak of war with Russia, Ukraine was a key supplier of titanium, producing about 7% of global output in 2019, according to European Commission research. It also claimed about 500,000 tonnes of lithium reserves, and one-fifth of the world’s graphite, a crucial component of nuclear power stations.
However, with Russia controlling about one-fifth of Ukraine’s territory, a lot of these reserves have been lost. According to estimates by Ukrainian thinktanks cited by Reuters, up to 40% of Ukraine’s metal resources are in land under occupation. Russian troops also hold at least two of Ukraine’s lithium deposits, one in Donetsk and another in Zaporizhzhia.
Why does Donald Trump want Ukraine’s critical minerals so much?
There is one big reason Trump is so keen to get his hands on Ukraine’s critical minerals: China. More than ever, the Asian superpower is the world’s factory and that means, wherever in the world critical minerals are torn from the ground, it remains a crucial staging point on the supply chain.
Most of the world’s processing capacity for critical minerals is in China. According to the IEA, China’s share of refining is about 35% for nickel, 50-70% for lithium and cobalt, and nearly 90% for REEs. Its dominance in the latter, especially, is overwhelming. According to USGS data, in 2024 China accounted for almost half the world’s REE reserves.
With Trump effectively instigating a trade war with China with his imposition of steep tariffs on Chinese goods, US access to critical minerals is potentially under threat. As mentioned earlier, the world is being gripped by an unseemly scramble for mineral wealth. They are the building blocks of the economy of the future, and if the US does not get its hands on them, someone else will.
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POLITICO
Russia to Trump: Back off Ukraine’s rare earths
A senior Russian official slammed United States President Donald Trump’s proposal that he could militarily aid Ukraine in exchange for access to its valuable mineral rights.
“If we call things as they are, this is a proposal to buy help — in other words, not to give it unconditionally, or for some other reasons, but specifically to provide it on a commercial basis,” Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters Tuesday.
“It would be better of course for the assistance to not be provided at all, as that would contribute to the end of this conflict,” he added, about a war that was instigated by Russia.
Trump announced Monday that he was “looking to do a deal with Ukraine” in which the U.S. would provide military aid for the war against Russian President Vladimir Putin in exchange for Ukraine’s “rare earths.”
“We’re investing hundreds of billions of dollars. They have great rare earths, and I want security of the rare earths,” he said in Washington, adding that Ukraine is “willing to do it.”
Ukraine has strategic reserves of titanium, lithium, graphite and uranium, which is crucial for its future economic stability and potentially part of the calculus in balancing immediate aid with long-term sovereignty over its resources. Some of the critical minerals are in areas currently under occupation by Russia, which has been waging war on Ukraine since 2014 and launched a full-scale invasion in 2022.
Ukraine has not yet commented on Trump’s proposal, but sharing resources with allies is part of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s “victory plan” for the war against Russia.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz criticized Trump’s suggestion, calling it “very egotistic, very self-centered,” and argued that Ukraine would need its natural resources to finance postwar rebuilding.
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